How can varying bet sizes be the best betting strategy to make money in a casino?

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Short answer:
  • To boost winnings, a player needs to have sufficient funds to place multiple bets; it ultimately becomes meaningless whether or not a specific game results in a win or a loss.
  • When making a bet, a player must consider the potential return on their investment.
  • Mathematical betting techniques such as Kelly criteria and Conlisk’s Theorem can help win more games.

Before a player begins betting under a specific betting strategy, he must practice highly accurate bankroll management and be consistent with his adherence to the rules he establishes for himself.

When settling on whether or not to bet regularly, this is, without a doubt, the most critical consideration.[1]

Most common varying bet size betting strategy in Casino[edit]

1-3-2-6 System

1-3-2-6 System:

  • When a player chooses to place a bet of one dollar for your initial bet, this is an excellent illustration of the 1-3-2-6 betting strategy.
  • If a player wins, the method asks the player to put three bets of $1 each, for a total of $3 on the second bet.
  • If the player also wins, his third and fourth bet should be $2 and $6, respectively, as he also wins the third bet. This condition applies only if he wins both of the previous bets.
  • If, however, a player is unsuccessful in winning the third betting unit, which is equal to $2, the betting cycle is over, and he is required to place the first wager, which is equal to $1.[2]

Kelly criteria

The formula goes by f*=bp-(1-p) / b. The formula may be written with f* representing the proportion of money to be betted, p representing the "actual" chance of winning, and b representing the odds multiplier. An example to follow:
If a gamble has a 55% chance of winning (p = 0.55) and the gambler receives 1-to-1 odds on a winning bet (b = 1.00), then the gambler should bet 20% of their money at each opportunity because f* = 0.20. For example, if a gamble has a 55% chance of winning (p = 0.55), the gambler should receive 1-to-1 odds on a winning bet.

Note that if the gambler does not have an advantage over the odds provided, which happens when b = (1-p)/p, then f* = 0.00. This means that the gambler will not bet anything since there is no knowledge the gambler has that the bookie does not have.[3]

Small Gamble Theorem

The hypothesis is that people may benefit from gambling on low-stakes games to reduce their risk exposure when the stakes are high. Lower sums were often wagered on each-way bets. This might be because the odds that are normally provided for these types of bets are lower, meaning that players do not have the same possibility to earn huge payments.[4]

Conlisk’s Theorem

Gamblers may choose to put each way bet as a sort of insurance against the risky gambles they have made, with the expectation that they will win some of the bets they have placed. Because of this perceived insurance, some gamblers may choose to place an each-way bet rather than taking the risk of either a win (a lower chance of a higher return) or a place (a higher chance of a smaller return). As a result, these gamblers are participating in a wager when they otherwise would not have done so if the option to wager each way was unavailable.[5]

Hedging smaller bets with bigger bets can help in minimizing the risks of losing more money[edit]

A bettor may implement an advanced method known as "hedging" to accomplish one of two goals: lower the amount of risk associated with a wager, or ensure that the wager will result in a profit of some type.

To hedge a bet, a bettor will place a second wager equal to or greater than the first. This second wager is designed to ensure that the bettor will make a profit after the event comes to a close. A bettor can hedge individual games or an entire future wager.[6]

What are the limitations of using varying bet size strategies in the Casino[edit]

The findings of varying bet sizes indicate that on the whole, although the vast majority of bets that are placed result in losses, these losses were not very severe. For players with less favorable returns on their bets, casino operators typically refund a more significant percentage of consumer bets.

One of the most significant shortcomings of bet sizing is that it might be difficult to decide when and whether to place a wager.[7]

Conclusion varying bet size strategy in the Casino[edit]

According to research by The Journal of Gambling Studies, nearly 77.63% of the bets resulted in losses. There was a substantial difference in stake size across the different kinds of bets and events that were gambled on, although the average bet was greater than it was in studies that had been published in the past. Less sophisticated betting behavior may be reflected in the fact that the bits that were put the most often to win had a relatively high proportion of losses and the lowest average returns. Fewer consumers made more precise bets regarding handicap and total, but these bets were more significant and offered the most prominent potential rewards.[8]

Even with varying bet size strategies, a player can still lose money; however, he may improve his chances of winning more games.


  1. B, Dan (2020-03-24). "8 Rules to Help You Choose the Perfect Bet Size". Upswing Poker. Retrieved 2022-11-01.
  2. "1-3-2-6 Betting - Is it a Reliable Sports Betting Strategy?". Oddspedia. Retrieved 2022-11-01.
  3. Cortis, Dominic. "How to use Kelly Criterion for betting". Pinnacle. Retrieved 2022-11-01.
  4. Gainsbury, Sally M.; Russell, Alex (2015-03-01). "Betting Patterns for Sports and Races: A Longitudinal Analysis of Online Wagering in Australia". Journal of Gambling Studies. 31 (1): 17–32. doi:10.1007/s10899-013-9415-4. ISSN 1573-3602. PMC 4611009. PMID 24165964.CS1 maint: PMC format (link)
  5. CONLISK, JOHN. "The Utility of Gambling".
  6. George Stalk, Jr; Iyer, Ashish (2016-05-01). "How to Hedge Your Strategic Bets". Harvard Business Review. ISSN 0017-8012. Retrieved 2022-11-01.
  7. "Poker Online | Online Poker Spiele | 888 Poker". (in German). Retrieved 2022-11-01.
  8. "Betting Patterns for Sports and Races: A Longitudinal Analysis of Online Wagering in Australia". Journal of Gambling Studies.